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Research & Strategy
The Research & Strategy Department produces analyses of the real estate markets, the economy and capital. Its mission consists of developing the highest performing tools and strategies in the interests of investors of Praemia REIM.
Headline
- Market review
Real Estate Convictions : Q3 2024
In October 2024, the ECB announced its third consecutive rate cut to ease its restrictive monetary policy, and we believe that a new momentum has opened up for the European real estate market. Indeed, this quarter we have seen a thaw in certain real estate indicators.
- Market review
Real Estate Convictions : Q3 2024
In October 2024, the ECB announced its third consecutive rate cut to ease its restrictive monetary policy, and we believe that a new momentum has opened up for the European real estate market. Indeed, this quarter we have seen a thaw in certain real estate indicators.
- Market review
Real estate outlook: October 2024
Over the last four years, we have been through a series of repeated crises. The unprecedented market context has reshuffled the cards between asset classes, and alternative real estate has emerged on the back of favourable fundamentals.
- Market review
Real estate convictions : 1st quarter 2024
For now, European real estate professionals have been cautious and are watching for the tipping point that could occur with the announcement of the first change in direction by the ECB.
- Market review
Real estate convictions : 1st quarter 2024
For now, European real estate professionals have been cautious and are watching for the tipping point that could occur with the announcement of the first change in direction by the ECB.
- Thematic study
Real estate investment, a global perspective
In this study, we want to offer a global perspective on the evolution of real estate markets, explore the diversity of responses provided by international players, and draw the outlines of what could be a “global real estate allocation” in the next cycle.
- Market review
Praemia REIM real estate convictions : 4th quarter 2023
After a slow year in 2023, 2024 will be a year of many challenges: challenges that are at the same time democratic, geopolitical, economic and financial.
- Market review
Praemia REIM real estate convictions : 3rd quarter 2023
A new phase is taking shape, with the ECB's stated intention to leave rates unchanged, thereby giving investors greater visibility.
- Market review
Real estate outlook: September 2023
Although considerable uncertainty persists in the short term, given the inflationary context and geopolitical tensions, the real estate market offers solid fundamentals.
- Market review
Real Estate Convictions Europe : 2nd quarter 2023
Although some economies contracted towards the middle of the year, global growth could prove more resilient than predicted over 2023 as a whole. Despite continued high levels of uncertainty, several positive factors for the economy have emerged.
- Market review
Real Estate Convictions Europe : 1st quarter 2023
The unexpected resilience of the European economy has led to an improvement in the business perspectives for 2023. However, the ECB has once again chosen to increase its interest rates to limit the impact of inflation, which is expected to decrease by the end of the year.
- Thematic study
From Healthcare real estate to the well-being society
The continuing demographic pressure and rapid ageing of the population are creating needs that make investment in healthcare infrastructure an absolute necessity.
- Market review
Real Estate convictions Europe : 4th quarter 2022
2022 saw a more pronounced than expected global slowdown, due to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, rising inflation, a tightening of financial conditions and the persistence of the Covid-19 pandemic in China.
- Market review
Real estate convictions Europe : 3rd quarter 2022
The repercussions of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine have created substantial challenges for the world economy. What impact on real estate?
- Overview
Real estate at the turning point of the 2020s
The years 2020-2022 are a turning point in the global economy: no geographical area, no asset class is spared. But each is affected differently. This note examines the resilience of European and French real estate in the face of this change of era.
- Market review
Real Estate Perspectives : october 2022
Real Estate Perspectives is the new study developed twice a year in which we present our 5-year projections for all markets and asset classes in Europe.
- Market review
Real estate convictions Europe : 2nd quarter 2022
Despite a limited impact on financing conditions during the first half of 2022, coupled with the uncertain economic and geopolitical context, the European real estate market saw total investment of €136 billion (up 6% over a year).
- Thematic study
European real estate in asset allocation: new world, new model
The study analyses the optimal share to allocate between countries and between asset classes according to the desired strategy and the existing mechanisms.
- Market review
Real estate convictions: 1st quarter of 2022
Against a backdrop of global stock market volatility, the European real estate market will have achieved an acceleration in the volume of investment, with €70 billion invested in the first quarter of 2022 (+18% year on yearyear on year).
- Market review
Real Estate Convictions Europe : 2021 Overview
With €318 billion invested in 2021 (up +23% year-on-year), the return to growth in the European commercial real estate market was confirmed. Investors continued their strategy of buying ‘core’ buildings which were concentrated (62%) in office and residential real estate.
- Thematic study
European residential, the great acceleration
The purpose of this report is to aid understanding of the issues in residential investment in the current climate, whilst noting the fundamentals that persist despite the crisis, and to identify sources of future growth in specific markets.
- Market review
Real estate convictions: 3rd quarter of 2021
With €175 billion invested over nine months in 2021 (up 7% year-on-year), the European commercial real estate market has seen a return to growth.
- Market review
Real estate convictions: Europe in the 2nd quarter of 2021
More than a year after the start of the Covid 19 pandemic, around EUR 115 billion were invested in commercial real estate in the first half of 2021, again confirming the relatively good resilience of this asset class.
- Thematic study
Healthcare real estate in a post-covid world
The ongoing pandemic crisis has highlighted the need to expand healthcare real estate infrastructure. Investment in healthcare infrastructure is at the intersection of major social and environmental challenges.
- Market review
Real estate convictions: Europe in the 1st quarter of 2021
With €50bn invested in Q1 2021, the European commercial property market is declining due to the caution of investors.
- Thematic study
Infographie : Le parcours résidentiel durant le cycle de vie
Analyse des dynamiques démographiques et immobilières, et politique d'investissement de Praemia REIM
- Overview
The post-covid office in Europe: Disruption or acceleration?
Companies have scaled up partial or total remote-working practises and, in reaction, employers have taken another look at their real-estate policies, and employees at their lifestyles.
- Market review
Real estate convictions Europe : 2020 outcome
Marked by the Covid-19 pandemic, 2020 caused a violent and unexpected recession in global economic activity. Focus on real estate markets.
- Market review
Real Estate Convictions Europe : 3rd quarter 2020
Just as the global economy was beginning to recover from its historic post-lockdown drop, uncertainty surged with the enacting of tougher measures to slow the spread of new Covid-19 infections in many countries. Focus on the European real estate markets on 3rd quarter 2020.
- Thematic study
Real Estate and lifecycle : the senior housing and nursing home market
The ageing of the population will therefore result in more dependent elderly persons. The loss of autonomy requires assistance or long-term care, particularly for those persons older than 80. This will inevitably expand demand for senior housing and nursing home.
- Thematic study
Real Estate and lifecycle : the single and multi-family housing market
One such shift is the increasing number of households and their decreasing size. This trend is expected to continue as lifestyles evolve, with more separations, fewer large families, etc., and this will inevitably expand demand for housing.
- Thematic study
Real Estate and lifecycle : the student housing market
The student housing market is expanding fast. From an annual average of €2.3bn from 2010 to 2014, investments tripled to €7.3bn from 2015 to 2019.
- Thematic study
Real Estate and lifecycle : Investment strategies for new residential markets
Life is a cycle and residential property must meet individuals’ expectations based on their needs at each moment of their lives. In a multi-generational society, housing must therefore adapt to the needs of several generations in student, single- and multifamily, and senior housing and nursing homes.
- Overview
Fall 2020 : Real estate keeps on track
How can savings be redeployed and what role can real estate play if crisis constraints need to be maintained for an extended period, even if less severe? On this new note, Daniel While, Head of Research & Strategy, explain the different prospects.
- Market review
Real estate convictions : France in the 1st semester 2020
The “Great Lockdown” following the Covid-19 pandemic had an extremely negative impact on global activity during the first six months of 2020. With nearly €15.0 billion of investment in the first half of 2020, France is holding up well despite a strict lockdown.
- Overview
Les fonds immobiliers non-cotés face au deuxième tour de la crise : la résistance des valeurs
La question des valorisations immobilières se pose, au regard du nouvel environnement économique. C’est la situation des fonds immobiliers non cotés (SCPI, SCI, OPCI) que nous examinerons plus particulièrement, en positionnant les stratégies de Praemia REIM dans cette analyse.
- Overview
Marchés locatifs de bureaux en Europe et crises économiques : quelle sensibilité ?
Il nous a paru intéressant, alors qu’une crise économique s’ajoute à la crise sanitaire mondiale, de revenir sur le lien entre croissance et loyer de bureau, dans les principaux marchés locatifs européens, au cours des 20 dernières années.
- Overview
#Weekly Covid-19 - French real estate market - a pre-opening inventory
week 4th au 8th may 2020. The main European countries have announced their reopening dates and procedures. What does the dashboard look like for real-estate investors ?
- Market review
Podcast : Covid-19 and the real estate markets
Welcome to our Covid-19 weekly podcast. During this quarantine period, we will try to answer your questions, on each episode. And we will give you our vision of the events and the impact on real estate markets.
- Overview
#Weekly Covid-19 : The new normal in the office market
Week 20th to 24th april 2020. The International Monetary Fund lowered its economic growth projections for 2020: -3% for the global economy, -7.5% for the eurozone, -7.2% for France. Office space has been the flagship product for institutional property investors in France for the past 20 years. What impact the crisis has on the office market?
- Overview
#Weekly Covid-19: French residential, from haven to safe haven?
Week 13th to 17th april 2020. A consensus is emerging that the lockdown exit strategy (France plans to lift its lockdown on 11th May) will involve reinforced social distancing. The residential real estate segment’s indicators were extremely sound before the Covid-19 crisis. What are they now ?
- Overview
Real Estate Convictions Europe : End of 2019 and 1st quarter 2020
While trade tensions seemed to ease between the United States and China, it is a virus, COVID-19, that has destabilised the entire global economy for 2020. Henry-Aurelien Natter draws up a balance sheet.
- Overview
#Weekly Covid-19 : Healthcare real estate facing the pandemic... and the world after
Week march 30 to april 3 2020. After attempting to map out the impacts of Covid-19 by eurozone country, Daniel While is doing the same for healthcare real estate, at the forefront during this pandemic.
- Overview
#Weekly Covid-19 : Pandemic and real estate markets - impact in the eurozone
Week 23 to 27 march 2020. After attempting to map out the impacts of Covid-19 by real estate category (see our report from 20 March 2020), we are now doing the same by eurozone country.
- Overview
#Weekly Covid-19 : Global pandemic and real estate markets
Week 16 to 20 march 2020. This report provide a weekly update on our view of Covid-19 events and of their impact on the real estate markets.
- Overview
Covid-19, Global Pandemic : Is real estate a haven?
Since December 2019, the world has been grappling with a vast and unexpected event: the Covid-19 virus. The epidemic began in the city of Wuhan in China and has since spread, infecting people in over 120 countries. How will this affect the real estate markets?
- Thematic study
"Factor investing": a tool for evaluating the potential of the tertiary markets
Office real estate is at the dawn of a new cycle. In Ile-de-France, biggest market of the Eurozone, the arrival of the Grand Paris Express will change everything. New tools are necessary for investors.
- Overview
Life insurance: The new real estate equation
In 2020, the life insurance equation will be profoundly changed in relation to previous years, in a direction favouring collective real estate. Daniel While, Research & Strategy Director, analyses the role of real estate in this new state of affairs.
- Market review
Real estate convictions France: 2019 assessment
France has succeeded in maintaining the flow of capital in commercial real estate (€39bn) on its territory, while the two principal markets of Germany (-6%) and the United Kingdom (-18%) have experienced declines in relation to 2018. Assessment of this year 2019.
- Overview
The ECB at the crossroads
At the end of 2019, Christine Lagarde replaced Mario Draghi at the head of the European Central Bank. The ex-chair of the IMF has taken the reins of an ECB divided over the strategy to follow for the next decade. What impact will this have on real estate? This is the subject of our latest economic climate report.
- Thematic study
Office real estate in Île-de-France: what investments in the Grand Paris?
The Grand Paris offers new investment and value creation opportunities for the coming years. We decode this exceptional market in our infographic.
- Thematic study
Offices in Ile-de-France: new cycle, new strategies
The office real estate sector is profoundly changing and must address the major issues with which it is directly faced. Discover our study on office real estate in Ile-de-France.
- Market review
Real estate convictions: Europe in the 3rd quarter of 2019
Although uncertainties and nervousness are increasing, real estate seems to be a reassuring pocket of stability. Henry-Aurélien Natter, Research Manager at Praemia REIM, reviews the different European markets in the 3rd quarter of 2019.
- Overview
L'immobilier dans un monde à taux zéro
Le scénario d’un régime de "taux bas permanents" a été moins analysé. Alors qu’il redevient plus crédible parmi les commentateurs, quelles en seraient les conséquences sur le marché immobilier et quelles stratégies d’investissement deviendraient pertinentes ?
- Market review
Real estate convictions: France in the first half of 2019
2019: global growth at the mercy of uncertainties. Although we were expecting the economic momentum to be maintained, certain risks identified have become reality and the goalposts have moved. Henry-Aurélien Natter, Research Manager, analyses the real estate market in France.
- Overview
Brexit : What's next ?
Three years after the referendum of June 2016, the Brexit process is taking a rather arduous route. With the interminable postponement of Brexit, 3 commercial scenarios have emerged. The Praemia REIM Research & Strategy team analyses this in a dedicated memo.
- Market review
Real estate convictions: Europe in the 2nd half of 2018
Between exhaustion and uncertainty. What’s the assessment of the real estate market in Europe? Henry-Aurélien Natter, Research Manager at Praemia REIM, analyses the European market in the 2nd half of 2018 for you.
- Market review
Podcast: The real estate market on 4th quarter 2018
Between exhaustion and uncertainty, what’s the assessment of the real estate market in Europe on 2018? The research team, Daniel While and Henry-Aurélien Natter, explains the situation on this podcast. Episodes are in french.
- Overview
Real estate between two cycles
At what point in the real estate cycle are we? A very difficult question since the cycle is dependent on a number of factors. Daniel While, Research and Strategy Director, analyses this in a dedicated report.
- Market review
Real estate convictions: France in the 2nd half of 2018
A rate rise delayed further? The global economic slowdown could have an impact on French real estate, and more specifically on the rental markets. Henry-Aurélien Natter, Research Manager, analyses the French real estate market.
- Thematic study
Euro City Ranking par Praemia REIM : L'immobilier résidentiel en France et en Europe
L'immobilier résidentiel ne cesse d'attirer les investisseurs. Particuliers ou institutionnels, tous y trouvent des intérêts certains : un bon placement pour préparer sa retraite, la perspective d'une plus-value potentielle.
- Thematic study
European residential real estate: from “metropolisation” to the investment strategy
The phenomenon of “metropolisation” is moving the goalposts of the residential markets, with some territories becoming more attractive and others declining. Discover our study on investment in residential real estate.
- Thematic study
Infographie : Habiter le 4e âge au XXIe siècle en Europe
Pour bien comprendre le marché de la santé, Praemia REIM a réalisé une étude intitulée « Habiter le 4e âge au 21e siècle » réalisée avec BVA Opinion. Résumé de cette étude en infographie.
- Thematic study
Living in old age in the 21st century in Europe: the key points of our study in video form
Praemia REIM ordered a study entitled “Living in old age in the 21st century” undertaken by BVA Opinion in four major countries of the Eurozone (France, Germany, Spain, Italy) among over 4,000 people aged 60 and over. Discover the results in our video.
- Thematic study
Living in old age in the 21st century in Europe: what expectations and what real estate investments for tomorrow?
Faced with the increasing issue represented by the ageing population in Europe, the matters of ageing well, improved care of seniors, and an appropriate and relevant housing offering have never been so current.
- Market review
Real estate convictions: Europe in the 1st half of 2018
After a prosperous period, investment real estate is facing a new equation: the end of a cycle of falling rates and the impact of structural evolutions (“metropolisation”, revolution of uses). What consequences should we draw from this, from the point of view of the manager and the beneficiary of the assets?
- Market review
Podcast: The real estate market in the 1st half of 2018
Offices, shops, healthcare, education… The Praemia REIM Research teams have analysed the real estate market in the 1st half of 2018 for you.
Essential listening!!
- Market review
Real estate convictions: France in the 1st half of 2018
In the 1st half of 2018, the prerequisites for a moderate rate rise continued to become established. For real estate, the economic environment remains positive. Henry-Aurélien Natter, Research Manager, analyses the French real estate market.
- Market review
Real estate convictions: France in the 2nd half of 2017
The French economy has seen its business climate improve since the election of Emmanuel Macron. Growth should settle at +1.8% in 2017 and 2018. Henry-Aurélien Natter, Research Manager, analyses the French real estate market.
The team
Henry-Aurélien Natter joined Praemia REIM as Research Manager in January 2018. He has the mission of developing the analyses of the Research & Strategy Department on the real estate markets, the economy and capital in France and in Europe.
Henry-Aurélien Natter began his career at Les Echos Etudes (formerly Eurostaf), then at C&W (formerly DTZ), and lastly at BNP PRE, where he acquired solid and varied experience in real estate research, strategy and finance. He is qualified with an AES degree in Business Management, a Masters Decree in management and SME management, and an International Master in commerce and marketing.